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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,152.96 (+3.5%) | 16 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 5% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 5% ±25 | 57% | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,797.14 (+2.4%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 17% ±24 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±23 | 36% ±54 | 52% | 7.0d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+1.4%) | 6.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 16% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±18 | 41% ±43 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,743.45–118,805.76 (+0.6%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.7d ago · 117× | 62% ±39 | 37% ±24 | 14% ±18 | 49% ±25 | 15 | 15% ±11 | 57% ±37 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 21h | 1.04% | 0.75% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,023.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 96% ±19 | 53% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 68% ±19 | 96% ±19 | 96% | 96% | 2h | 1.19% | 0.78% | 23 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,126.77 (-0.8%) | 3.4 | 1.7% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 101× | 37% ±24 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 7% ±5 | 37% ±24 | 50% ±44 | 58% ±68 | 3.0d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-1.6%) | 7.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 9% ±23 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-2.4%) | 11 | 1.2% | 7h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 7% ±19 | 9% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 117 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 118,023.5 | 119,721.27 | 115,150.86 | stop | -2.21% |