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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 14:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.66 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,842.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,794.01–7,810.85 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 0.6% | 32m | 13.3d ago · 54× | 59% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 72 | 45% ±8 | 59% ±18 | 71% ±30 | 86% ±34 | 18h | 0.49% | 0.39% | 167 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,767.07–7,770.44 (-0.9%) | 2.6 | 7.3% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 62× | 28% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 95 | 10% ±5 | 28% ±18 | 47% ±35 | 66% ±54 | 3.9d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 7,711.29–7,742.04 (-1.3%) | 3.6 | 3.5% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 63× | 14% ±15 | 19% ±9 | 44% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 76 | 6% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 31% ±34 | 53% ±56 | 6.7d | 0.40% | 0.32% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 7,655.5–7,668.02 (-2.2%) | 6.3 | 9.7% | 12h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 10% ±10 | 25% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 95 | 3% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 24% ±24 | 40% ±43 | > 7d | 0.48% | 0.37% | 210 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,637.42 (-2.6%) | 7.5 | 10.9% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 48× | 10% ±12 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±12 | 25% ±30 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.48% | 137 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,621.33 (-2.8%) | 8.0 | 5.2% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 67× | 4% ±7 | 23% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 18% ±25 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 0.56% | 0.50% | 164 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,575.12 (-3.4%) | 9.7 | 2.2% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±7 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±18 | 18% ±30 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.54% | 239 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.