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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.66 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,773.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,768.56–7,771.42 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.4% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 62× | 76% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 95 | 61% ±7 | 77% ±15 | 87% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 1h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,730.42–7,745.63 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 2.9% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 52× | 46% ±26 | 17% ±10 | 46% ±13 | 37% ±12 | 58 | 27% ±9 | 45% ±26 | 62% ±43 | 73% ±62 | 1.4d | 0.37% | 0.31% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 7,711.78 (-0.8%) | 2.6 | 7.6% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 63× | 18% ±18 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 76 | 8% ±5 | 18% ±17 | 44% ±40 | 72% ±51 | 4.0d | 0.44% | 0.33% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,650.52–7,667.39 (-1.4%) | 4.4 | 8.6% | 11h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 11% ±9 | 24% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 95 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±23 | 49% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.51% | 0.42% | 263 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,638.16 (-1.7%) | 5.7 | 9.9% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 48× | 12% ±14 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±14 | 28% ±33 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.48% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,616.67 (-2.0%) | 6.5 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 41× | 8% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 20% ±23 | 31% ±40 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.54% | 212 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.