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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 18:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.66 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,790.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,744.63–7,745.63 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 3.0% | 5h | 12.4d ago · 40× | 42% ±31 | 15% ±11 | 47% ±15 | 38% ±14 | 43 | 26% ±11 | 42% ±31 | 55% ±56 | 67% | 2.8d | 0.37% | 0.34% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,728.65 (-0.8%) | 2.5 | 4.7% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 52× | 24% ±23 | 20% ±10 | 44% ±13 | 36% ±12 | 58 | 10% ±7 | 24% ±23 | 49% ±49 | 68% ±65 | 3.0d | 0.38% | 0.26% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,719.84–7,722.71 (-0.9%) | 2.7 | 7.0% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 62× | 27% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 95 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±18 | 45% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 4.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,711.78 (-1.0%) | 3.2 | 7.9% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 63× | 16% ±16 | 22% ±9 | 39% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 76 | 6% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 38% ±36 | 68% ±53 | 4.9d | 0.44% | 0.33% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,652.29–7,667.39 (-1.6%) | 5.0 | 8.9% | 11h | 6.1d ago · 75× | 9% ±9 | 24% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 95 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 28% ±24 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.42% | 249 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,638.16 (-2.0%) | 6.2 | 10.3% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 48× | 11% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 26% ±33 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.48% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,616.67 (-2.2%) | 7.0 | 3.8% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 41× | 6% ±8 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±21 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.54% | 216 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.