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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 14:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.66 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 7,757.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 7,703.62–7,737.53 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.9% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 75× | 50% ±18 | 21% ±8 | 41% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 95 | 34% ±7 | 50% ±18 | 71% ±28 | 84% ±36 | 1.3d | 0.41% | 0.31% | 180 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,702.61–7,721.82 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 7.8% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 62× | 56% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 95 | 34% ±7 | 56% ±17 | 73% ±26 | 84% ±32 | 22h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,653.17–7,664.9 (-1.2%) | 3.5 | 8.8% | 11h | 6.1d ago · 67× | 16% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 4% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 36% ±24 | 57% ±40 | 5.5d | 0.55% | 0.49% | 266 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,638.12 (-1.5%) | 4.5 | 11.1% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 48× | 14% ±15 | 29% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 34% ±35 | 50% ±57 | 7.0d | 0.51% | 0.48% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-2.3%) | 6.8 | 2.8% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 41× | 8% ±9 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 18% ±22 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.54% | 212 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.