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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+0.8%) | 2.0 | 0.1% | 23m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 55% ±17 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 20% ±5 | 55% ±16 | 76% ±24 | 86% ±31 | 21h | 1.23% | 1.39% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 86,677.85 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 90% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 71% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 1.37% | 1.02% | 317 → 8 | |
| at post · 86,563.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 85,264.23–86,387.04 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 98× | 92% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 152 | 70% ±5 | 92% ±7 | 95% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 393 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 86,084.1 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 15h | 3.0d ago · 114× | 76% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 156 | 43% ±4 | 76% ±10 | 86% ±13 | 94% ±14 | 6h | 1.28% | 0.96% | 470 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,492.29 (-1.2%) | 3.0 | 2.3% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 58× | 43% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 68 | 10% ±4 | 43% ±15 | 69% ±24 | 82% ±31 | 1.5d | 1.28% | 0.91% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 83,996.19–84,126.95 (-2.8%) | 6.9 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 99× | 13% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 126 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 34% ±12 | 49% ±20 | 6.7d | 1.38% | 1.04% | 1040 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,975.05 (-4.1%) | 10 | 1.1% | 8h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 4% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 30% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1095 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,769.09 (-4.4%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 46× | 5% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 12% ±13 | 20% ±24 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 443 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-9.3%) | 23 | 1.8% | 13h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 12% ±13 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 945 → 23 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.