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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 18:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.1%) | 4.8 | 0.1% | 24m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 20% ±8 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 59% ±27 | 3.9d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 549 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 86,684.32 (+1.4%) | 3.2 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 31% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 123 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 60% ±15 | 74% ±20 | 1.9d | 1.37% | 1.03% | 769 → 18 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 85,488.54–85,492.29 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 116× | 91% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 155 | 77% ±4 | 91% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±12 | 1h | 1.29% | 1.04% | 344 → 8 | |
| at post · 85,465.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,765.2 (-0.8%) | 1.9 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 98× | 64% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 152 | 25% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 77% ±17 | 82% ±23 | 12h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC · 14D POC | 83,996.19–84,249.27 (-1.4%) | 3.2 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 99× | 34% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 126 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±8 | 56% ±14 | 68% ±21 | 2.1d | 1.38% | 1.04% | 815 → 19 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,975.05 (-2.9%) | 6.6 | 1.2% | 8h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 11% ±5 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±12 | 42% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 939 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,769.09 (-3.2%) | 7.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 13% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 26% ±17 | 34% ±28 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 443 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-8.1%) | 18 | 1.9% | 13h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1082 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.