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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,033.33 (+3.3%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 5% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 5% ±25 | 57% | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,875.23 (+2.3%) | 12 | 0.4% | 56m | 4.1d ago · 89× | 10% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±20 | 24% ±49 | 45% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+1.4%) | 6.7 | 0.8% | 5h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 12% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 35% ±38 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,743.45–118,805.76 (+0.5%) | 2.6 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.6d ago · 117× | 57% ±40 | 37% ±24 | 14% ±18 | 49% ±25 | 15 | 14% ±11 | 55% ±37 | 76% ±59 | 76% | 22h | 1.04% | 0.75% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,109.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 91% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 66% ±16 | 91% ±22 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 2h | 1.19% | 0.78% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,126.77 (-0.8%) | 4.1 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 28% ±21 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 7% ±5 | 27% ±21 | 40% ±39 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-1.6%) | 8.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±20 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-2.5%) | 12 | 1.1% | 7h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 7% ±18 | 8% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.