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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,913.7 (+3.5%) | 15 | 0.6% | 2h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 8% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±26 | 59% ±68 | 6.3d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,875.23 (+2.6%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 9% ±19 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±18 | 25% ±49 | 45% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+1.7%) | 7.1 | 1.0% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 9% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±13 | 30% ±37 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,805.76 (+0.9%) | 3.7 | 2.8% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 117× | 39% ±48 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 12% ±12 | 36% ±42 | 56% ±69 | 56% | 1.3d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,134.32–118,145.29 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 78% ±33 | 41% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 51% ±15 | 80% ±30 | 98% ±22 | 98% | 4h | 1.02% | 0.72% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,774.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,126.77 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 13h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 50% ±26 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 13% ±7 | 51% ±26 | 61% ±43 | 69% ±64 | 1.0d | 1.28% | 0.51% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-1.4%) | 5.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 16% ±29 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-2.2%) | 9.5 | 1.3% | 8h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 6% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 9% ±23 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 104 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 117,774.5 | 116,171.36 | 121,913.7 | target | +1.58% |
| 30d | POC | short | 117,774.5 | 115,150.86 | 119,721.27 | target | +1.58% |