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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,913.7 (+3.7%) | 14 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 9% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 10% ±29 | 57% ±69 | 6.3d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,875.23 (+2.8%) | 11 | 0.5% | 1h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 16% ±24 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±22 | 35% ±54 | 51% | 7.0d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+1.8%) | 6.9 | 1.1% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 10% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±14 | 32% ±37 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,805.76 (+1.1%) | 4.0 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 117× | 36% ±47 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 9% ±10 | 32% ±41 | 49% ±69 | 54% | 4.8d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 31 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,134.32–118,145.29 (+0.5%) | 1.9 | 4.7% | 1.9d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 69% ±37 | 41% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 25% ±13 | 70% ±34 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 15h | 1.02% | 0.72% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,547.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,126.77 (-0.4%) | 1.3 | 1.9% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 62% ±27 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 30% ±11 | 64% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 81% ±54 | 11h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-1.2%) | 4.4 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±18 | 31% ±40 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-2.0%) | 7.6 | 1.5% | 9h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±14 | 12% ±31 | 12% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.