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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,794.06 (+3.9%) | 13 | 0.8% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 8% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 9% ±28 | 55% ±69 | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,953.32 (+3.2%) | 11 | 0.6% | 2h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 15% ±23 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±21 | 31% ±52 | 49% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+2.1%) | 7.2 | 1.2% | 7h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 28% ±36 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,805.76 (+1.3%) | 4.5 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 117× | 27% ±43 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±6 | 25% ±38 | 37% ±67 | 47% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 29 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+0.8%) | 2.6 | 5.1% | 2.1d | 3.7d ago · 71× | 53% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 18% ±14 | 54% ±44 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 22h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,427.5 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 82× | 88% ±28 | 41% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 69% ±16 | 87% ±27 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 2h | 1.02% | 0.72% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,244.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,126.77 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 101× | 77% ±34 | 47% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 61% ±15 | 78% ±31 | 85% ±49 | 95% | 3h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-0.9%) | 3.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 32% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 54% ±56 | 73% | 2.6d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-1.8%) | 6.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 11% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±18 | 14% ±34 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.