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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,794.06 (+5.5%) | 15 | 1.0% | 4h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 8% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±26 | 59% ±68 | 6.3d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,995.34 (+4.8%) | 13 | 0.7% | 2h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 8% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 14% ±48 | 40% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+3.7%) | 10 | 1.5% | 9h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 13% ±25 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 117 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,836.4 (+3.0%) | 8.0 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 7% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 11% ±43 | 74% | 5.9d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+2.4%) | 6.4 | 6.2% | 2.5d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 17% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±7 | 17% ±28 | 27% ±61 | 78% | 4.6d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 117,427.5 (+1.7%) | 4.7 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 39% ±39 | 41% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 3% ±5 | 39% ±39 | 62% ±67 | 68% | 1.9d | 1.02% | 0.72% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,061.27 (+1.4%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 77× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±64 | 63% | 94% | 1.9d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–119,467.36 (+0.8%) | 2.1 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 12% ±13 | 52% ±49 | 76% | 96% | 18h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,051.73 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 1.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 53% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 29% ±23 | 53% ±56 | 71% | 94% | 15h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 115,414.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.2% | 13h | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,414.7 | 118,134.32 | 114,328.18 | stop | -0.14% |