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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,913.7 (+5.6%) | 13 | 1.0% | 4h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 7% ±14 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 10% ±26 | 56% ±69 | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,966.98 (+4.8%) | 11 | 0.8% | 2h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 12% ±21 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±20 | 29% ±51 | 47% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,721.27 (+3.7%) | 8.4 | 1.8% | 10h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 21% ±30 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 119 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,829.76 (+2.9%) | 6.6 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 7% ±22 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 9% ±40 | 68% | 6.3d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+2.3%) | 5.3 | 7.0% | 2.7d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 28% ±36 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 8% ±9 | 27% ±36 | 44% ±69 | 69% | 3.5d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 117,427.5 (+1.7%) | 3.9 | 4.9% | 1.8d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 49% ±40 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 5% ±7 | 49% ±37 | 70% ±64 | 70% | 1.1d | 1.10% | 0.69% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 116,990.74 (+1.3%) | 3.0 | 2.9% | 19h | 1.1d ago · 77× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 9% ±13 | 44% ±56 | 65% | 95% | 1.9d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–119,340.4 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 3.0% | 21h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 55% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 23% ±16 | 55% ±44 | 79% ±56 | 97% | 18h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,051.73 (+0.5%) | 1.1 | 1.9% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 62% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 33% ±26 | 57% ±69 | 75% | 93% | 15h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 115,475 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 115,023.9–115,277.81 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 15h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 85% ±29 | 61% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 15 | 68% ±15 | 85% ±29 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 1h | 1.26% | 0.64% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,150.86 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 19h | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,475 | 118,134.32 | 114,328.18 | stop | +0.07% |