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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,794.06 (+5.1%) | 10 | 1.3% | 6h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 12% ±16 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 18% ±31 | 57% ±69 | 6.0d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 121,364.61 (+4.7%) | 9.7 | 0.9% | 3h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 16% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 34% ±46 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+3.2%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 15h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 13% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 37% ±39 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 118,829.76 (+2.5%) | 5.2 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 21% ±40 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±6 | 20% ±35 | 27% ±62 | 47% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+1.9%) | 4.0 | 7.6% | 2.9d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 45% ±44 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 14% ±12 | 44% ±40 | 63% ±67 | 66% | 1.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 117,427.5 (+1.3%) | 2.7 | 5.5% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 58% ±37 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 13% ±10 | 57% ±34 | 86% ±39 | 86% | 22h | 1.10% | 0.69% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 116,891.34 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 3.2% | 22h | 1.1d ago · 77× | 60% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 20% ±22 | 60% ±68 | 60% | 93% | 16h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–119,340.4 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 24h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 72% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 62% ±17 | 74% ±39 | 85% ±49 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 116,051.73 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.3% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 51× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 115,911.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 115,023.9–115,277.81 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 3.4% | 18h | 3.5d ago · 98× | 79% ±26 | 61% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 15 | 48% ±14 | 80% ±26 | 87% ±38 | 87% | 5h | 1.26% | 0.64% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,023.9 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 3.3% | 23h | 22.6d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 115,911.3 | 110,168.96 | 117,427.5 | expired | +2.22% |