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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 121,563.42–121,794.06 (+4.5%) | 8.8 | 1.3% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 15% ±16 | 63% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 31% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 34% ±38 | 59% ±56 | 5.4d | 1.27% | 0.72% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+2.8%) | 5.5 | 2.5% | 16h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 20% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±21 | 50% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 3.0d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+1.5%) | 3.0 | 7.9% | 3.0d | 3.7d ago · 71× | 55% ±44 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 15% ±12 | 52% ±44 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 22h | 1.14% | 0.82% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,636.88 (+1.1%) | 2.1 | 6.2% | 2.3d | 4.0d ago · 117× | 54% ±37 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 20% ±12 | 54% ±37 | 81% ±55 | 81% | 22h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,709.7–116,891.34 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 82× | 84% ±29 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 66% ±16 | 85% ±29 | 92% ±39 | 97% | 1h | 1.10% | 0.69% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–119,340.4 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 80× | 75% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 77% ±17 | 77% ±41 | 88% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| at post · 116,364.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 116,051.73 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 68% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 53% ±24 | 68% ±53 | 74% | 89% | 3h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,023.9–115,277.81 (-0.9%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 98× | 63% ±34 | 61% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 15 | 22% ±12 | 62% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 75% | 13h | 1.26% | 0.64% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,023.9 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 22.9d ago · 37× | 16% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 15% ±16 | 15% ±40 | 26% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.