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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 121,662.83–121,674.43 (+4.4%) | 8.2 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 16% ±17 | 63% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 31% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 38% ±39 | 59% ±56 | 4.1d | 1.27% | 0.72% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+2.6%) | 4.9 | 2.6% | 17h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 25% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 24% ±23 | 55% ±49 | 58% ±68 | 2.8d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+1.4%) | 2.6 | 8.3% | 3.1d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 52% ±44 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 17% ±13 | 50% ±40 | 82% ±53 | 82% | 1.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,636.88 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 6.5% | 2.3d | 3.9d ago · 117× | 64% ±35 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 28% ±13 | 64% ±36 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 10h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,590.07–116,791.93 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 1.3d ago · 82× | 92% ±26 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 88% ±13 | 93% ±25 | 93% | 95% | 1h | 1.10% | 0.69% | 25 → 1 | |
| at post · 116,519.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 115,932.1 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 72% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 46% ±20 | 73% ±43 | 81% | 92% | 5h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,150.86–115,277.81 (-1.1%) | 2.0 | 3.7% | 20h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 63% ±36 | 61% ±25 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 15 | 20% ±12 | 62% ±36 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 13h | 1.26% | 0.64% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,023.9 (-1.3%) | 2.4 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 22.8d ago · 37× | 14% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 13% ±14 | 13% ±32 | 22% | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.