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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 121,674.43–121,882.73 (+5.6%) | 10 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 13% ±16 | 63% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 31% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±15 | 24% ±34 | 54% ±56 | 6.0d | 1.27% | 0.72% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+3.8%) | 6.9 | 2.6% | 17h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 9% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 30% ±37 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+2.6%) | 4.8 | 8.2% | 2.9d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 34% ±38 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 7% ±8 | 31% ±34 | 50% ±69 | 66% | 2.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,632.39 (+2.1%) | 3.8 | 6.4% | 2.3d | 3.9d ago · 117× | 29% ±40 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±9 | 29% ±36 | 45% ±69 | 45% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,590.07–116,864.25 (+1.2%) | 2.1 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 82× | 57% ±37 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 15% ±11 | 58% ±37 | 77% ±58 | 88% | 18h | 1.10% | 0.69% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–119,213.45 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 3.4% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 57% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 32% ±17 | 61% ±43 | 84% ±51 | 97% | 14h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,932.1 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 62% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 41% ±25 | 71% ±52 | 82% | 94% | 7h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 115,256.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 115,023.9 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 22.8d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,256.3 | 118,261.28 | 114,201.23 | stop | -1.46% |