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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 121,985.15 (+5.9%) | 11 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 9% ±18 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±47 | 43% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 121,674.43 (+5.7%) | 11 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 17% ±30 | 57% ±56 | 6.2d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+3.9%) | 7.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 7% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 26% ±32 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 120 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+2.7%) | 5.1 | 7.9% | 2.8d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 30% ±37 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 7% ±8 | 27% ±33 | 45% ±69 | 67% | 3.3d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,632.39 (+2.2%) | 4.1 | 6.2% | 2.2d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 29% ±36 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±9 | 28% ±36 | 40% ±68 | 45% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,590.07–116,864.25 (+1.3%) | 2.4 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 82× | 53% ±37 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 13% ±10 | 55% ±37 | 75% ±60 | 86% | 22h | 1.10% | 0.69% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–116,928.24 (+1.1%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 80× | 48% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 13% ±13 | 52% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 97% | 18h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,932.1 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 60% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 32% ±22 | 66% ±54 | 78% | 95% | 11h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 115,144.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 115,023.9 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 22.7d ago · 37× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 92% ±17 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 115,144.9 | 118,261.28 | 114,201.23 | stop | -1.03% |