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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,729.53 (+6.5%) | 12 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 10% ±14 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 13% ±27 | 55% ±56 | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+4.6%) | 8.5 | 2.5% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 18% ±29 | 37% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 134 → 3 |
| 7D VAH | 119,280.77 (+4.3%) | 8.0 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 15% ±18 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 5.6d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 95 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+3.4%) | 6.3 | 7.0% | 2.5d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 14% ±24 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±22 | 22% ±47 | 77% | 4.8d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,627.85 (+2.9%) | 5.3 | 5.9% | 2.2d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 13% ±27 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±24 | 17% ±53 | 43% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 116,525.91 (+1.9%) | 3.5 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 43% ±34 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±5 | 41% ±34 | 58% ±56 | 58% | 1.5d | 1.22% | 0.68% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,852.5 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 51× | 48% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±9 | 47% ±44 | 65% ±66 | 97% | 1.1d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 114,896.94–115,531.72 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 71% ±36 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 57% ±16 | 68% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 98% | 2h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 114,516.08 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 21h | 23.6d ago · 35× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 114,330.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 113,648.62 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 100× | 67% ±27 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 39% ±11 | 68% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 88% ±45 | 7h | 1.27% | 0.51% | 74 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 114,330.9 | 117,627.85 | 112,634.83 | stop | -1.69% |