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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,729.53 (+6.6%) | 12 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 9% ±13 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 13% ±27 | 54% ±56 | 6.7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 119,299–119,594.32 (+4.4%) | 8.0 | 3.2% | 21h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 8% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 29% ±32 | 43% ±56 | 5.8d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 135 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+3.5%) | 6.4 | 7.2% | 2.6d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 14% ±24 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±22 | 22% ±47 | 77% | 4.8d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,724.63 (+3.0%) | 5.5 | 6.3% | 2.2d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 13% ±26 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±24 | 17% ±52 | 43% | > 7d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 116,525.91 (+2.0%) | 3.6 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 43% ±34 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±34 | 56% ±56 | 56% | 1.7d | 1.22% | 0.68% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,852.5 (+1.4%) | 2.5 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 51× | 45% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±8 | 44% ±43 | 61% ±67 | 97% | 1.3d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 114,896.94–115,531.72 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 69% ±37 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 54% ±16 | 65% ±38 | 81% ±55 | 97% | 4h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 114,516.08 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.5% | 23h | 23.6d ago · 35× | 71% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 63% ±25 | 75% ±60 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 114,242.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 113,934.48 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 100× | 75% ±30 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 59% ±14 | 75% ±30 | 86% ±40 | 92% | 3h | 1.27% | 0.51% | 49 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.