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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 121,729.53 (+7.0%) | 12 | 1.6% | 7h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 9% ±14 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 13% ±27 | 55% ±56 | 6.5d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 119,269.16–119,594.32 (+4.8%) | 8.4 | 3.4% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 8% ±11 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 26% ±30 | 42% ±56 | 6.1d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 135 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+4.0%) | 6.9 | 7.5% | 2.7d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 13% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±20 | 20% ±45 | 82% | 5.3d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 117,690.62 (+3.5%) | 6.0 | 6.3% | 2.2d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 7% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±17 | 12% ±36 | 55% | 6.3d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 116,525.91 (+2.4%) | 4.2 | 4.1% | 1.6d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 37% ±33 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±5 | 35% ±31 | 52% ±57 | 56% | 2.8d | 1.22% | 0.68% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,852.5 (+1.8%) | 3.2 | 2.7% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 51× | 35% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±7 | 32% ±37 | 46% ±69 | 98% | 3.6d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 114,769.99–115,531.72 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 56% ±40 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 31% ±14 | 62% ±36 | 84% ±51 | 98% | 14h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 114,516.08 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 23.6d ago · 35× | 68% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 33% ±17 | 73% ±39 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 6h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 114,043.64 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 77× | 88% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 81% ±20 | 88% ±46 | 88% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 113,757.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.