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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,090.7 (+8.7%) | 17 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 3% ±9 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±15 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,594.32 (+6.4%) | 13 | 2.3% | 15h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±21 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 126 → 3 |
| 7D VAH | 119,114.87 (+6.0%) | 12 | 3.3% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 6% ±14 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 15% ±35 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+5.1%) | 10 | 6.3% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 2% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 7% ±29 | 89% | 5.5d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 117,365.02–117,628.6 (+4.5%) | 8.7 | 4.6% | 1.7d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 2% ±11 | 41% ±24 | 14% ±17 | 46% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 10% ±34 | 79% | 5.9d | 1.15% | 0.73% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,076.2 (+3.3%) | 6.5 | 2.5% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 51× | 19% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±7 | 18% ±34 | 18% ±53 | 97% | 4.4d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 113,999.33–114,262.16 (+1.5%) | 2.9 | 2.8% | 24h | 1.1d ago · 77× | 49% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±10 | 52% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 96% | 1.7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 113,500.43–113,754.34 (+1.0%) | 2.0 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 47% ±44 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 15% ±11 | 53% ±40 | 77% ±59 | 98% | 18h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,350.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.