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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,277.31 (+8.8%) | 18 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±9 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 52% ±69 | 7.0d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 76 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 120,863.88–120,990.83 (+7.5%) | 15 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 24% ±48 | 64% | 5.8d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,467.36 (+6.3%) | 13 | 2.2% | 16h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±20 | 29% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 126 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 118,559.84 (+5.5%) | 11 | 5.3% | 1.7d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 3% ±15 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 18% ±53 | 94% | 4.9d | 1.22% | 0.68% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,134.32 (+5.1%) | 10 | 6.1% | 2.3d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 2% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 8% ±30 | 95% | 5.3d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 117,156.8 (+4.2%) | 8.6 | 3.0% | 21h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 14% ±17 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 37% ±39 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,976.51 (+3.2%) | 6.5 | 2.3% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 19% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±7 | 18% ±34 | 18% ±53 | 97% | 4.4d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 114,135.21 (+1.5%) | 3.2 | 2.5% | 21h | 23.8d ago · 35× | 61% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 11% ±12 | 64% ±47 | 96% | 96% | 20h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 113,500.43–113,881.3 (+1.0%) | 2.0 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 80× | 47% ±44 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 15% ±11 | 53% ±37 | 77% ±59 | 98% | 18h | 1.20% | 1.07% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 113,355.8 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 117× | 63% ±34 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 29% ±13 | 62% ±34 | 88% ±37 | 88% | 13h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,400 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 112,088.8 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 78% ±27 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 55% ±13 | 79% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 93% | 3h | 1.28% | 0.55% | 54 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 112,400 | 113,355.8 | 111,176.56 | target | +4.11% |