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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 119,483.42 (+6.3%) | 7.7 | 3.2% | 21h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 19% ±27 | 29% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 148 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 118,920.96 (+5.8%) | 7.1 | 5.4% | 1.8d | 3.6d ago · 67× | 17% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±17 | 34% ±38 | 55% ±56 | 4.6d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 118,147.57 (+5.1%) | 6.2 | 7.6% | 2.9d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 10% ±18 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 18% ±38 | 61% ±68 | 6.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,461.65 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 3.9d ago · 89× | 31% ±21 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 5% ±4 | 30% ±21 | 68% ±37 | 71% ±51 | 1.6d | 1.46% | 0.87% | 112 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 113,353.06–113,436.94 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 5.7% | 1.8d | 3.4d ago · 117× | 78% ±23 | 44% ±24 | 13% ±16 | 44% ±24 | 17 | 54% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 93% ±25 | 94% ±33 | 3h | 1.32% | 0.75% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 113,155.7–113,858.78 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 1.1d ago · 80× | 70% ±30 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 56% ±13 | 70% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 98% | 2h | 1.65% | 1.00% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,446.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 112,030.78–112,074.08 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 1.9% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 100× | 81% ±25 | 43% ±24 | 15% ±17 | 42% ±23 | 17 | 60% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 88% ±36 | 94% | 2h | 1.04% | 0.81% | 55 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 112,446.1 | 113,353.06 | 111,464.32 | stop | -2.06% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 112,446.1 | 113,366.63 | 110,790.54 | stop | -2.06% |