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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 119,521.48 (+9.2%) | 12 | 2.8% | 18h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±19 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 148 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 119,064.74 (+8.7%) | 12 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 67× | 8% ±11 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 11% ±23 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 117,922.9 (+7.7%) | 10 | 6.4% | 2.3d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 2% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 79% ±56 | 6.0d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,459.06 (+5.4%) | 7.2 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 89× | 19% ±17 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±17 | 49% ±40 | 53% ±56 | 5.6d | 1.46% | 0.87% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D POC | 113,238.05–113,507.77 (+3.4%) | 4.5 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 26% ±27 | 44% ±24 | 13% ±16 | 44% ±24 | 17 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±27 | 48% ±57 | 58% | 2.4d | 1.32% | 0.75% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 113,127.15–113,888.38 (+3.3%) | 4.4 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 80× | 43% ±37 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±37 | 64% ±66 | 98% | 1.2d | 1.65% | 1.00% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 111,905.45–112,061.43 (+2.2%) | 2.9 | 1.4% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 77× | 36% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 7% ±8 | 36% ±36 | 65% ±66 | 97% | 1.8d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| at post · 109,501.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.