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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-27 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 118,950.54–119,110.39 (+6.9%) | 12 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.8d ago · 67× | 4% ±8 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 9% ±18 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 155 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 117,911.45 (+5.9%) | 10 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 1% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±20 | 69% ±64 | 6.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,187.97 (+3.5%) | 6.0 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 4.1d ago · 89× | 20% ±17 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±16 | 52% ±35 | 55% ±56 | 2.8d | 1.46% | 0.87% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 113,275.54–113,376.25 (+1.8%) | 3.0 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 37% ±30 | 46% ±23 | 12% ±15 | 41% ±23 | 18 | 9% ±7 | 36% ±30 | 55% ±56 | 61% | 1.5d | 1.51% | 0.68% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 113,195.61–113,994.91 (+1.7%) | 2.9 | 3.5% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 46% ±31 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 9% ±7 | 44% ±29 | 69% ±45 | 98% ±17 | 1.2d | 1.65% | 1.00% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 112,875.89 (+1.4%) | 2.4 | 3.1% | 20h | 23.8d ago · 35× | 66% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 16% ±11 | 66% ±35 | 94% ±33 | 94% | 17h | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 111,437.16 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.9% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 51× | 92% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 71% ±26 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 93% | 2h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 111,307.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 111,117.44–111,277.3 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 81% ±44 | 46% ±31 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 73% ±20 | 82% ±44 | 86% | 95% | 1h | 1.10% | 0.92% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,503.99 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 69% ±24 | 48% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 38% ±10 | 69% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 87% ±46 | 7h | 1.28% | 0.55% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 111,307.7 | 103,794.33 | 113,275.54 | expired | +0.02% |