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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 119,110.39 (+6.8%) | 12 | 2.1% | 14h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 118,470.96 (+6.2%) | 11 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 8% ±11 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 11% ±22 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 117,911.45 (+5.7%) | 10 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 1% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±20 | 69% ±64 | 6.1d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 115,187.97 (+3.3%) | 6.0 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 89× | 19% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±16 | 52% ±35 | 55% ±56 | 2.6d | 1.46% | 0.87% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 113,275.54 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 45% ±31 | 52% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±29 | 64% ±47 | 74% ±60 | 1.5d | 1.50% | 0.60% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 113,195.61–113,994.91 (+1.5%) | 2.7 | 3.3% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 47% ±31 | 50% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 9% ±7 | 44% ±29 | 67% ±46 | 98% ±17 | 1.2d | 1.65% | 1.00% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 112,580.85–112,875.89 (+1.0%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 117× | 61% ±30 | 40% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 24% ±11 | 60% ±30 | 86% ±40 | 86% | 15h | 1.53% | 0.77% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 111,521.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 110,957.58 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 83% ±30 | 29% ±27 | 14% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 47% ±16 | 83% ±30 | 87% ±46 | 95% | 5h | 0.60% | 1.35% | 38 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 110,478.01–110,957.58 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 60% ±36 | 46% ±31 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 50% ±15 | 61% ±36 | 73% ±62 | 91% | 3h | 1.10% | 0.92% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,415.62 (-1.0%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 58% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 19% ±8 | 58% ±25 | 71% ±40 | 78% ±58 | 17h | 1.28% | 0.55% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 111,521.3 | 113,275.54 | 109,605.18 | expired | +1.26% |