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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.7%) | 12 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 16% ±32 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+6.0%) | 8.6 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±20 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 175 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 114,925.17 (+3.8%) | 5.4 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 14% ±19 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±19 | 21% ±40 | 36% ±67 | > 7d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,628.62 (+2.6%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 22% ±24 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 5% ±5 | 22% ±23 | 55% ±49 | 63% ±67 | 2.6d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 112,966.53 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 82× | 42% ±27 | 55% ±22 | 14% ±15 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 8% ±6 | 41% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 75% ±60 | 1.4d | 1.65% | 0.51% | 77 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 112,585.07–113,798.46 (+1.7%) | 2.4 | 3.1% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 51% ±30 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 11% ±8 | 51% ±30 | 73% ±43 | 90% ±41 | 1.0d | 1.65% | 0.97% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 111,439.4 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 69% ±27 | 67% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 49% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 81% ±38 | 81% ±54 | 5h | 1.49% | 0.80% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,745.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 108,019.78–108,535.67 (-2.0%) | 2.8 | 3.1% | 1.3d | 1.1d ago · 115× | 39% ±21 | 46% ±21 | 11% ±13 | 43% ±21 | 22 | 10% ±5 | 40% ±21 | 64% ±36 | 76% ±48 | 1.6d | 1.17% | 0.76% | 123 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 110,745.7 | 108,423.91 | 112,054.93 | stop | -0.96% |