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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.1%) | 11 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 3% ±8 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±33 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.5%) | 7.7 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 8.1d ago · 38× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±25 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 158 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 114,925.17 (+3.2%) | 4.5 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±26 | 34% ±53 | 41% | > 7d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,628.62 (+2.0%) | 2.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 31% ±27 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 14% ±8 | 31% ±27 | 54% ±49 | 63% ±67 | 2.6d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 112,966.53 (+1.4%) | 2.0 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 48% ±31 | 55% ±22 | 14% ±15 | 32% ±21 | 19 | 15% ±9 | 48% ±31 | 72% ±51 | 78% | 1.0d | 1.65% | 0.51% | 59 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 112,585.07–113,798.46 (+1.1%) | 1.6 | 3.1% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 80× | 60% ±29 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 31% ±11 | 59% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 94% ±34 | 13h | 1.65% | 0.97% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,356.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 111,315.05 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 72× | 93% ±36 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 86% ±20 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 1.24% | 1.58% | 12 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 107,833.25–108,535.67 (-2.5%) | 3.6 | 3.1% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 115× | 30% ±19 | 46% ±21 | 11% ±13 | 43% ±21 | 22 | 7% ±4 | 30% ±19 | 54% ±37 | 69% ±52 | 2.8d | 1.17% | 0.76% | 134 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 111,356.1 | 114,837.9 | 108,423.91 | expired | +0.73% |