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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.2%) | 13 | 1.3% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 16% ±32 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.5%) | 8.9 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 8.0d ago · 38× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±19 | 22% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 176 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 114,925.17 (+3.3%) | 5.3 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 71× | 14% ±21 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±20 | 22% ±41 | 36% ±67 | > 7d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,119.32 (+1.6%) | 2.7 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 67× | 33% ±28 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 16% ±9 | 33% ±28 | 54% ±49 | 63% ±67 | 2.4d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 112,585.07–113,798.46 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.2d ago · 79× | 57% ±29 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 24% ±10 | 57% ±29 | 76% ±42 | 92% ±38 | 18h | 1.65% | 0.97% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,283.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 111,252.88 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.9d ago · 72× | 93% ±36 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 87% ±18 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 93% | 1h | 1.24% | 1.58% | 13 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 107,833.25–108,423.91 (-2.6%) | 4.1 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 115× | 26% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 11% ±13 | 41% ±21 | 22 | 6% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 51% ±35 | 68% ±53 | 3.6d | 1.17% | 0.73% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 111,283.2 | 111,346.14 | 108,423.91 | target | +0.66% |