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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.5%) | 14 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 16% ±32 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 85 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.8%) | 9.8 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 19% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 183 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 114,925.17 (+3.6%) | 6.0 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 3.7d ago · 71× | 11% ±16 | 31% ±29 | 23% ±26 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 17% ±33 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 1.14% | 0.82% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,526.76 (+2.3%) | 3.9 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 67× | 22% ±24 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 5% ±5 | 22% ±22 | 54% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 2.7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 111,234.93–111,252.88 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 80% ±28 | 60% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 30% ±21 | 19 | 65% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 90% ±35 | 91% | 2h | 1.58% | 0.65% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 111,025–111,371.68 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 75% ±32 | 53% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 35% ±25 | 14 | 70% ±14 | 75% ±32 | 84% ±51 | 90% | 1h | 1.65% | 0.97% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 110,966.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 108,423.91–108,433.81 (-2.3%) | 3.8 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 115× | 31% ±24 | 42% ±21 | 10% ±12 | 49% ±21 | 22 | 8% ±6 | 32% ±24 | 59% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 2.1d | 1.04% | 0.88% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 107,833.25–108,078.21 (-2.6%) | 4.4 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 101× | 24% ±18 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 5% ±4 | 24% ±17 | 44% ±34 | 60% ±55 | 4.9d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 137 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 110,966.7 | 108,423.91 | 111,868.41 | stop | +0.09% |