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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+9.0%) | 18 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 13% ±29 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+6.4%) | 13 | 2.3% | 23h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±13 | 18% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 194 → 5 |
| 14D VAH | 112,610.03 (+2.0%) | 4.0 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 20% ±21 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±20 | 48% ±44 | 57% ±69 | 4.3d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 89 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 112,238.39–112,411.73 (+1.6%) | 3.3 | 2.3% | 15h | 2.2d ago · 79× | 46% ±27 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 10% ±7 | 46% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 87% ±46 | 1.2d | 1.65% | 1.00% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 110,942.29–111,285.01 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 70% ±26 | 51% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 47% ±11 | 72% ±25 | 84% ±36 | 85% ±49 | 6h | 1.36% | 0.72% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,418 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 108,010.96–108,410.68 (-1.8%) | 3.6 | 2.2% | 22h | 2.2d ago · 115× | 27% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 10% ±12 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 7% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 51% ±35 | 66% ±53 | 3.7d | 1.17% | 0.73% | 144 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 110,418 | 108,410.68 | 111,469.93 | stop | -0.28% |