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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+8.1%) | 17 | 1.0% | 3h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 13% ±30 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+5.4%) | 11 | 2.2% | 22h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 197 → 5 |
| 14D VAH | 112,610.03 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 37% ±29 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±29 | 50% ±49 | 61% ±68 | 2.7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 112,238.39–112,411.73 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 2.3% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 63% ±27 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 32% ±11 | 62% ±28 | 80% ±39 | 90% ±41 | 14h | 1.65% | 1.00% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,396.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 110,942.29–111,285.01 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 22h | 3.5d ago · 85× | 88% ±21 | 50% ±23 | 11% ±15 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 64% ±13 | 88% ±21 | 91% ±32 | 93% | 2h | 1.10% | 1.01% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 108,010.96–108,410.68 (-2.7%) | 5.6 | 2.1% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 115× | 17% ±15 | 48% ±20 | 10% ±12 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 37% ±34 | 56% ±49 | 4.1d | 1.17% | 0.73% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 111,396.7 | 117,438.62 | 108,078.21 | expired | -0.50% |