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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-05 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+6.9%) | 14 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±28 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 117,438.62 (+4.3%) | 8.6 | 2.3% | 24h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 13% ±21 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 187 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 114,838.5–115,185.19 (+2.0%) | 4.0 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 80× | 38% ±27 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±5 | 41% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 91% ±39 | 1.3d | 1.65% | 1.00% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 112,610.03 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 92% ±26 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 77% ±17 | 92% ±26 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 1.35% | 0.51% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,589 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D POC | 111,031.21–111,285.01 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 3.0% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 85× | 46% ±31 | 50% ±23 | 11% ±15 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 20% ±10 | 46% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 73% | 1.4d | 1.10% | 1.01% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 108,014.75–108,445.06 (-3.7%) | 7.3 | 2.3% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 115× | 11% ±13 | 48% ±20 | 10% ±12 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 24% ±32 | 45% ±56 | 4.4d | 1.17% | 0.73% | 132 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 112,589 | 111,031.21 | 113,380.08 | target | +1.49% |