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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 116,398.57 (+4.4%) | 9.8 | 0.8% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 209 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 116,225.23–116,745.26 (+4.2%) | 9.5 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 6% ±12 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 21% ±36 | 50% ±69 | 6.4d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,180.3 (+1.5%) | 3.4 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 25% ±21 | 56% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 6% ±5 | 26% ±21 | 63% ±39 | 69% ±64 | 2.3d | 1.35% | 0.65% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,366.25 (+0.8%) | 1.8 | 3.2% | 22h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 62% ±26 | 56% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 34% ±10 | 63% ±25 | 75% ±38 | 76% ±59 | 13h | 1.20% | 0.89% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,487.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 111,082.56–111,285.01 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 89% ±17 | 51% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 37% ±19 | 25 | 65% ±10 | 89% ±16 | 93% ±22 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 1.20% | 0.67% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,450.91 (-0.9%) | 2.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 52% ±24 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 18% ±8 | 52% ±24 | 65% ±42 | 72% ±62 | 21h | 1.38% | 0.57% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,885.03 (-1.4%) | 3.2 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 35% ±23 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 9% ±6 | 35% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 69% ±64 | 2.3d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 99 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 108,424.89–108,771.57 (-2.4%) | 5.4 | 1.7% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 33% ±33 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 4% ±6 | 33% ±33 | 41% ±56 | 41% | > 7d | 0.97% | 0.84% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 107,904.86 (-3.2%) | 7.2 | 0.6% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 12% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 26% ±35 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 111,487.4 | 116,398.57 | 107,904.86 | expired | +1.82% |