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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 116,398.57 (+4.9%) | 11 | 0.8% | 6h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 18% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 213 → 5 |
| LVN zone | 116,225.23–116,745.26 (+4.7%) | 10 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 4% ±9 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 16% ±29 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 113,180.3 (+2.0%) | 4.4 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 24% ±19 | 56% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 24% ±19 | 58% ±37 | 65% ±54 | 2.5d | 1.35% | 0.65% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,366.25 (+1.3%) | 2.8 | 3.3% | 22h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 36% ±22 | 56% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±22 | 63% ±39 | 65% ±54 | 1.6d | 1.20% | 0.89% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 111,082.56–111,285.01 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 3.3d ago · 117× | 88% ±20 | 45% ±20 | 15% ±15 | 40% ±20 | 23 | 71% ±11 | 88% ±19 | 94% ±24 | 95% ±29 | 2h | 1.26% | 0.73% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 110,971.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 110,450.91 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 73% ±22 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 42% ±10 | 73% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 90% ±41 | 6h | 1.38% | 0.57% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,885.03 (-1.0%) | 2.2 | 2.1% | 13h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 63% ±30 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 18% ±10 | 63% ±30 | 78% ±47 | 91% | 15h | 0.65% | 1.33% | 60 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 108,424.89–108,771.57 (-2.0%) | 4.4 | 1.7% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 39% ±32 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 5% ±6 | 39% ±32 | 52% ±57 | 52% | 1.9d | 0.97% | 0.84% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-2.6%) | 5.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 14% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±16 | 32% ±37 | 52% ±69 | 6.4d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 110,971.3 | 110,450.91 | 112,366.25 | stop | -2.58% |
| 14d | POC | short | 110,971.3 | 109,885.03 | 113,180.3 | stop | -2.58% |
| 30d | POC | short | 110,971.3 | 108,078.21 | 116,398.57 | expired | -2.58% |