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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,558.76–121,425.46 (+7.3%) | 17 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 1% ±4 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±24 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,878.55 (+3.2%) | 7.3 | 0.9% | 6h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 5% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 18% ±25 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
| 14D VAH | 113,180.3 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 58% ±31 | 56% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 30% ±12 | 57% ±31 | 72% ±51 | 77% | 10h | 1.35% | 0.65% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,447.76 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 84% ±24 | 56% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 68% ±12 | 84% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 93% | 2h | 1.20% | 0.89% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 112,333 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 111,097.44–111,285.01 (-0.9%) | 2.2 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 115× | 56% ±26 | 53% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 25% ±9 | 57% ±26 | 76% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 16h | 1.27% | 0.67% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,491.66 (-1.6%) | 3.8 | 2.7% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 32% ±18 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 6% ±4 | 31% ±17 | 46% ±33 | 56% ±49 | 4.9d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,885.03 (-2.2%) | 5.0 | 2.0% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 13% ±14 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±14 | 32% ±32 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 142 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 108,424.89–108,771.57 (-3.2%) | 7.3 | 1.7% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 16% ±23 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 15% ±21 | 16% ±36 | 16% ±51 | > 7d | 0.97% | 0.84% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-3.8%) | 8.7 | 1.0% | 6h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 16% ±25 | 34% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 143 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 112,333 | 111,123.32 | 112,799.85 | stop | -1.49% |