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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-10 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,385.42–121,425.46 (+6.2%) | 14 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 54× | 1% ±4 | 38% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 11% ±23 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 2.03% | 0.82% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,705.21 (+2.0%) | 4.5 | 1.0% | 8h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 26% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 26% ±24 | 52% ±49 | 54% ±69 | 2.8d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
| at post · 113,388 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 113,150.89 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 2.9% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 58× | 85% ±40 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 70% ±21 | 85% ±40 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 1.15% | 1.06% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 112,507.38 (-0.8%) | 1.7 | 3.6% | 21h | 4.0d ago · 72× | 54% ±40 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 29% ±15 | 54% ±40 | 69% ±64 | 69% | 20h | 1.01% | 1.41% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 111,079.98–111,285.01 (-1.9%) | 4.1 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 115× | 30% ±22 | 53% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 6% ±5 | 32% ±22 | 53% ±40 | 67% ±53 | 2.0d | 1.27% | 0.67% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 110,504.76 (-2.5%) | 5.6 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 17% ±14 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 17% ±14 | 31% ±29 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 109,865.27 (-3.1%) | 6.9 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 5% ±9 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 17% ±25 | 37% ±47 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 155 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 108,424.89–108,771.57 (-4.1%) | 9.0 | 1.8% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 98× | 9% ±16 | 48% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 9% ±28 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | 0.97% | 0.84% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,078.21 (-4.7%) | 10 | 1.1% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 8% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 12% ±22 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 113,388 | 115,390.62 | 111,079.98 | expired | +0.48% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 113,388 | 116,673.62 | 111,097.38 | expired | +0.48% |