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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,484.92 (+1.3%) | 4.5 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 27% ±17 | 54% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±17 | 62% ±32 | 65% ±47 | 2.1d | 1.19% | 0.91% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 115,790.41 (+0.7%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 23h | 3.8d ago · 117× | 52% ±31 | 38% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 22% ±10 | 52% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 75% | 22h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 18h | 8.0d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,040.59–115,154.05 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 18h | 1.1d ago · 80× | 79% ±28 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 74% ±13 | 79% ±28 | 89% ±35 | 91% | 1h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 115,023.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 113,599.56 (-1.2%) | 4.4 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 58× | 39% ±48 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 11% ±12 | 39% ±48 | 43% | 43% | > 7d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 26 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 110,501.99–113,225.15 (-1.6%) | 5.5 | 1.9% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 98× | 27% ±29 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 2% ±3 | 27% ±29 | 34% ±54 | 34% | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,378.26 (-2.3%) | 8.2 | 2.7% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 10% ±11 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±11 | 20% ±26 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,110.09–111,239.51 (-3.3%) | 12 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 5% ±11 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 7% ±22 | 12% ±44 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,253.87 (-5.0%) | 18 | 1.0% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 4% ±11 | 8% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 171 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 108,620.63 (-5.6%) | 20 | 1.4% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 98 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 115,023.4 | 111,239.51 | 116,082.19 | stop | -0.01% |