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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,487.88 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 71% ±24 | 54% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 44% ±11 | 71% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 80% ±55 | 6h | 1.19% | 0.91% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 116,006.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 115,810.44 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.0% | 1.0d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 88% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 69% ±10 | 88% ±17 | 92% ±24 | 92% ±39 | 1h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 81 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 115,040.59–115,154.05 (-0.7%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 19h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 55% ±31 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 14% ±9 | 55% ±31 | 67% ±53 | 67% | 21h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (-0.8%) | 2.8 | 2.2% | 19h | 9.0d ago · 36× | 51% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±10 | 59% ±36 | 85% ±50 | 87% | 17h | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 113,505.61 (-2.2%) | 7.2 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 58× | 23% ±37 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 3% ±5 | 20% ±32 | 20% ±55 | 20% | > 7d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,482.14 (-3.0%) | 10 | 2.7% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 5% ±9 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±24 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,110.09–111,239.51 (-4.1%) | 14 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±9 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 4% ±16 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,253.87 (-5.8%) | 20 | 1.1% | 6h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 2% ±9 | 6% ±24 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 108,620.63 (-6.4%) | 21 | 1.5% | 14h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 1% ±6 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 7% ±35 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 116,006.5 | 116,487.88 | 112,482.14 | target | -0.47% |