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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,578.55 (+1.6%) | 4.2 | 1.0% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 31% ±18 | 54% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±18 | 66% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 1.9d | 1.19% | 0.91% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 115,762.48 (+0.9%) | 2.4 | 2.6% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 52% ±31 | 38% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 23% ±11 | 53% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 75% | 22h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 8.0d ago · 38× | 80% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 50% ±20 | 81% ±39 | 88% | 88% | 5h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 115,040.59–115,267.52 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 71% ±26 | 53% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 58% ±11 | 72% ±26 | 82% ±37 | 91% ±41 | 2h | 1.60% | 1.07% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 114,697 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 113,671.13 (-0.9%) | 2.3 | 2.3% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 58× | 46% ±49 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 21% ±16 | 46% ±49 | 64% | 64% | 1.0d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 26 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 110,501.99–113,111.68 (-1.4%) | 3.5 | 2.9% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 51% ±30 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 10% ±7 | 51% ±30 | 63% ±47 | 63% ±67 | 23h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,588.85 (-1.8%) | 4.7 | 3.3% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 22% ±15 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±15 | 36% ±30 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 174 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,097.16–111,239.51 (-3.0%) | 7.7 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 10% ±17 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±17 | 18% ±38 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 109,253.87 (-4.7%) | 12 | 1.4% | 8h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 7% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 9% ±19 | 19% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 168 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 108,616.79 (-5.3%) | 14 | 1.9% | 18h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 3% ±6 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±12 | 17% ±37 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 114,697 | 112,588.85 | 116,578.55 | expired | -0.80% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 114,697 | 111,239.51 | 116,082.19 | expired | -0.80% |