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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,578.55 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 1.2% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 49% ±23 | 54% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 17% ±7 | 50% ±23 | 69% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 1.1d | 1.19% | 0.91% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 115,762.48 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 1.5d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 80% ±20 | 38% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 58% ±10 | 80% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 94% ±32 | 3h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,331 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 114,927.12–115,267.52 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 98× | 87% ±22 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 72% ±12 | 87% ±22 | 91% ±33 | 91% | 1h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 9.0d ago · 36× | 84% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 65% ±22 | 85% ±40 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 114,232.73 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 58× | 48% ±49 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 21% ±15 | 47% ±44 | 66% ±66 | 66% | 1.0d | 1.36% | 1.04% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,314.25 (-1.7%) | 3.8 | 3.1% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 30% ±17 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 6% ±4 | 30% ±17 | 43% ±32 | 52% ±49 | 5.9d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 164 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,097.16–111,239.51 (-3.5%) | 7.7 | 5.0% | 1.8d | 3.2d ago · 85× | 10% ±17 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 18% ±38 | 30% ±64 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 109,367.34–109,552.78 (-5.0%) | 11 | 2.0% | 8h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 5% ±8 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.