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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 116,397.2 (+1.2%) | 2.7 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 39% ±22 | 54% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 38% ±20 | 23 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±22 | 65% ±38 | 68% ±53 | 1.5d | 1.19% | 0.91% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 115,762.48 (+0.6%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 71% ±25 | 38% ±20 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 41% ±10 | 69% ±24 | 87% ±29 | 91% ±39 | 7h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 85 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 115,040.59 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 8.1d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 79% ±23 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 115,033.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 114,063.29 (-0.8%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 58× | 54% ±49 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 22% ±16 | 51% ±49 | 74% | 74% | 19h | 1.36% | 1.04% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 113,314.25 (-1.5%) | 3.4 | 2.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 34% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 8% ±4 | 34% ±19 | 46% ±35 | 54% ±49 | 3.6d | 1.38% | 0.57% | 151 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 110,615.45–113,111.68 (-1.7%) | 3.8 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 45% ±29 | 54% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±28 | 56% ±49 | 56% ±69 | 1.3d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 111,071.74–111,239.51 (-3.3%) | 7.5 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 10% ±17 | 56% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 33% ±20 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±17 | 19% ±38 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.69% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 109,367.34–109,428.5 (-4.9%) | 11 | 1.8% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 5% ±8 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 7% ±16 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 115,033.5 | 111,239.51 | 116,061.77 | stop | -1.29% |