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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,290.5 (+1.8%) | 10 | 0.4% | 3h | 3.4d ago · 67× | 8% ±10 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 15% ±21 | 34% ±41 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 193 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,743.46 (+1.3%) | 7.4 | 0.7% | 7h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 17% ±14 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 44% ±32 | 52% ±49 | 6.5d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 163 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 115,629.4–115,646.05 (+0.3%) | 1.9 | 1.8% | 1.0d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 61% ±26 | 46% ±19 | 15% ±14 | 39% ±18 | 27 | 29% ±10 | 62% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 86% ±48 | 14h | 1.06% | 0.76% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 115,256.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 114,833.64–114,889.36 (-0.3%) | 1.8 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 100× | 52% ±23 | 49% ±20 | 17% ±15 | 34% ±19 | 23 | 19% ±7 | 52% ±22 | 68% ±37 | 74% ±50 | 22h | 1.27% | 0.57% | 111 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 114,036.27–114,356.18 (-0.8%) | 4.5 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 25% ±19 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±19 | 52% ±40 | 81% ±45 | 2.8d | 1.13% | 1.01% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,636.15 (-1.4%) | 8.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 3% ±7 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±18 | 25% ±43 | > 7d | 0.65% | 1.33% | 177 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 110,517.25–112,436.71 (-2.4%) | 14 | 1.3% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 1% ±4 | 52% ±19 | 19% ±15 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 0.95% | 0.69% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (-3.6%) | 21 | 2.1% | 18h | 3.1d ago · 63× | 1% ±5 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,064.6 (-6.2%) | 36 | 0.4% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.