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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 117,290.5 (+2.6%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.5d ago · 67× | 8% ±9 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 13% ±20 | 32% ±41 | > 7d | 1.29% | 0.66% | 189 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 116,711.71 (+2.1%) | 9.0 | 0.9% | 8h | 3.8d ago · 89× | 15% ±14 | 52% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±33 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 115,566.98–115,646.05 (+1.1%) | 4.7 | 2.3% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 117× | 18% ±20 | 46% ±19 | 15% ±14 | 39% ±18 | 27 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±44 | 66% ±66 | 2.8d | 1.06% | 0.76% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 115,102.64–115,955.73 (+0.7%) | 2.9 | 1.8% | 16h | 2.1d ago · 79× | 47% ±25 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±25 | 74% ±38 | 90% ±42 | 1.1d | 1.49% | 1.07% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 114,760.04–114,889.36 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.2% | 8h | 3.1d ago · 76× | 61% ±36 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 19% ±12 | 61% ±36 | 81% ±55 | 89% | 18h | 1.46% | 0.85% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 114,335.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 113,183.17–113,822.99 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.7d ago · 47× | 43% ±32 | 44% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 84% | 2.3d | 1.13% | 1.01% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,782.33 (-0.5%) | 2.1 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.1d ago · 57× | 64% ±30 | 35% ±25 | 12% ±17 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 19% ±10 | 64% ±30 | 76% ±48 | 83% | 15h | 0.65% | 1.33% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 110,517.25–112,330.08 (-1.8%) | 7.6 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 98× | 11% ±16 | 52% ±19 | 19% ±15 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±16 | 12% ±28 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | 0.95% | 0.69% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 111,103.75 (-2.8%) | 12 | 2.8% | 24h | 3.1d ago · 63× | 4% ±8 | 63% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±22 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.78% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,064.6 (-5.5%) | 24 | 0.6% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 37× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±8 | 3% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 176 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 114,335.9 | 112,384.24 | 115,566.98 | target | +1.74% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 114,335.9 | 111,103.75 | 116,117.82 | expired | +1.74% |