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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,855.65 (+3.8%) | 6.3 | 0.3% | 58m | 3.3d ago · 67× | 20% ±15 | 50% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 19% ±15 | 43% ±32 | 52% ±49 | 5.0d | 0.95% | 0.86% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 124,105.95 (+2.4%) | 3.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.6d ago · 89× | 29% ±16 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 4% ±3 | 29% ±16 | 61% ±30 | 66% ±46 | 1.9d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 187 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 121,797.88–122,327.15 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 3.2% | 23h | 1.9d ago · 79× | 72% ±23 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 59% ±11 | 73% ±23 | 85% ±32 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.85% | 1.17% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 121,621.45–121,898.27 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 18h | 3.1d ago · 117× | 82% ±17 | 46% ±18 | 14% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 30 | 64% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±29 | 2h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 121,192.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 120,952.13 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 7h | 2.8d ago · 100× | 81% ±23 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 65% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 1.28% | 0.59% | 70 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 118,798.65–119,680.78 (-1.2%) | 2.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 37% ±29 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 19% ±9 | 42% ±28 | 61% ±48 | 81% ±55 | 2.2d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,505.13 (-3.9%) | 6.3 | 3.0% | 21h | 1.9d ago · 57× | 6% ±8 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 21% ±25 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 186 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 114,917.3–116,505.13 (-3.9%) | 6.3 | 3.0% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 98× | 14% ±16 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 19% ±29 | 23% ±47 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-4.5%) | 7.4 | 5.7% | 3.1d | 2.9d ago · 63× | 12% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 12% ±26 | 19% ±45 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-8.8%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 22.3d ago · 37× | 2% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 264 → 6 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 121,192.7 | 121,898.27 | 120,384.44 | target | -6.84% |