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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 125,855.65 (+3.5%) | 5.6 | 0.3% | 60m | 3.4d ago · 67× | 22% ±16 | 50% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 2% ±2 | 22% ±16 | 48% ±33 | 56% ±49 | 4.3d | 0.95% | 0.86% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 124,018.72 (+2.0%) | 3.2 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 31% ±17 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 5% ±3 | 30% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 66% ±46 | 1.8d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 172 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 121,797.88–122,327.15 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.3% | 24h | 2.0d ago · 79× | 79% ±25 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 73% ±11 | 80% ±24 | 89% ±30 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.85% | 1.17% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 121,621.45–121,886.09 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 20h | 3.2d ago · 117× | 88% ±17 | 46% ±18 | 14% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 30 | 75% ±9 | 89% ±16 | 94% ±21 | 96% ±29 | 1h | 1.07% | 0.77% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 121,570.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 120,966.3 (-0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.9% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 100× | 76% ±21 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 55% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 87% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 3h | 1.28% | 0.59% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 118,798.65–119,680.78 (-1.6%) | 2.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 34% ±25 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 18% ±8 | 38% ±24 | 62% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 2.0d | 1.21% | 0.92% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,681.55 (-4.0%) | 6.4 | 2.7% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 57× | 6% ±8 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 20% ±25 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 0.63% | 1.35% | 187 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 114,740.88–116,505.13 (-4.2%) | 6.6 | 3.1% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 98× | 13% ±14 | 55% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 17% ±28 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | 0.96% | 0.69% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 115,711.21 (-4.8%) | 7.7 | 5.8% | 3.2d | 3.0d ago · 63× | 11% ±14 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 12% ±24 | 20% ±46 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.59% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 110,506.68 (-9.1%) | 15 | 0.3% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 2% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 264 → 6 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 121,570.5 | 121,795.76 | 120,416.86 | target | -8.47% |