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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 125,714.66–125,961.58 (+11.3%) | 7.0 | 1.0% | 4h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 15% ±12 | 50% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 37% ±27 | 50% ±44 | 6.7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 217 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 121,640.48–121,763.94 (+7.7%) | 4.7 | 7.0% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 19% ±17 | 43% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 3% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 43% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 4.0d | 1.06% | 0.92% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 119,788.58 (+6.1%) | 3.7 | 3.0% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 34% ±33 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 2% ±4 | 34% ±33 | 59% ±56 | 85% | 2.2d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 115,714.4 (+2.5%) | 1.5 | 11.8% | 5.9d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 71% ±30 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 40% ±13 | 71% ±30 | 91% ±33 | 91% | 10h | 0.99% | 0.85% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,603.26 (+1.5%) | 0.9 | 7.7% | 2.2d | 1.7d ago · 51× | 77% ±34 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 45% ±16 | 76% ±34 | 90% ±42 | 98% | 5h | 1.14% | 1.03% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 113,615.58–117,072.46 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 6.1% | 1.5d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 80% ±24 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 73% ±11 | 81% ±23 | 90% ±29 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 1.14% | 1.15% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 112,905.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 110,652.54 (-2.0%) | 1.2 | 1.5% | 6h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 94% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 79% ±19 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.