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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 125,961.58 (+13.2%) | 7.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.3d ago · 89× | 14% ±12 | 50% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±27 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 1.12% | 0.93% | 209 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 121,640.48–121,763.94 (+9.3%) | 5.3 | 7.3% | 2.3d | 3.2d ago · 117× | 15% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±15 | 39% ±36 | 58% ±56 | 5.0d | 1.06% | 0.92% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 119,047.82 (+7.0%) | 4.0 | 2.7% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 76× | 32% ±35 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 2% ±4 | 31% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 84% | 2.4d | 1.46% | 0.85% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 115,714.4 (+4.0%) | 2.3 | 12.3% | 6.1d | 3.2d ago · 71× | 38% ±34 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 15% ±10 | 37% ±32 | 66% ±54 | 68% | 1.6d | 0.99% | 0.85% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,356.34 (+2.8%) | 1.6 | 7.7% | 2.2d | 1.7d ago · 51× | 63% ±33 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 22% ±11 | 63% ±32 | 86% ±39 | 98% | 14h | 1.14% | 1.03% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 111,640.22–113,368.66 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 6.5% | 1.6d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 80% ±25 | 44% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 75% ±10 | 80% ±24 | 89% ±31 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 1.14% | 1.15% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 111,273.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 110,652.54 (-0.6%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 8h | 22.4d ago · 37× | 94% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 85% ±16 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 111,273.7 | 115,714.4 | 108,652.49 | expired | -0.03% |