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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-10-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,512 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 125,961.58–126,208.5 (+10.5%) | 13 | 0.2% | 57m | 3.3d ago · 89× | 5% ±7 | 51% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 43% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 12% ±18 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 1.18% | 0.91% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 121,640.48 (+6.7%) | 8.1 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 117× | 2% ±7 | 47% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 39% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 22% ±30 | 64% ±54 | 6.2d | 1.13% | 0.75% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,282.42 (+5.5%) | 6.7 | 1.9% | 14h | 7.7d ago · 38× | 8% ±10 | 29% ±27 | 7% ±15 | 64% ±28 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 26% ±27 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 0.74% | 1.87% | 183 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 115,714.4 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 6.1% | 3.8d | 3.1d ago · 71× | 51% ±35 | 35% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 25% ±13 | 50% ±35 | 79% ±46 | 79% | 1.1d | 0.99% | 0.85% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 114,850.18–117,072.46 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.9d ago · 79× | 72% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 46% ±20 | 23 | 59% ±10 | 73% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 1.43% | 1.14% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 113,993.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 113,862.5 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.9d ago · 57× | 80% ±35 | 32% ±23 | 11% ±15 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 67% ±17 | 80% ±35 | 87% ±47 | 93% | 1h | 0.62% | 1.69% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 111,393.3–113,615.58 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.7% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 98× | 90% ±16 | 54% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 75% ±9 | 90% ±15 | 93% ±23 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 0.96% | 0.69% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 112,627.9 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 100× | 62% ±21 | 53% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 31% ±8 | 62% ±21 | 78% ±31 | 83% ±42 | 10h | 1.27% | 0.60% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 108,677.18 (-4.7%) | 5.7 | 0.7% | 3h | 22.3d ago · 37× | 15% ±15 | 23% ±26 | 8% ±17 | 69% ±29 | 10 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±15 | 30% ±34 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 0.89% | 1.97% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 113,993.4 | 121,640.48 | 110,183.39 | expired | +0.53% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 113,993.4 | 121,640.48 | 111,684.67 | expired | +0.53% |